Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 15:30 WAT
Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Tips
1. FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern MünchenWho wins?
Mainz vs Bayern Munich match preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 face FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Bundesliga match, gives Mainz a 11% chance of winning, 14% for a draw and 75% for Bayern Munich. It expects about 1.12 goals for Mainz and 2.97 for Bayern Munich.
The model's top tip is Both teams to score, a 64% chance with fair odds of 1.57. Both teams to score is rated at 64%, Over 1.5 goals at 91% and Over 2.5 goals at 77%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Mainz have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 14.
Bayern Munich have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 16 and conceding 9.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Mainz won 0, Bayern Munich won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Mainz vs Bayern Munich
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 | Strong |
| Bayern Munich or Draw | 89% | 1.13 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 86% | 1.16 | Strong |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | Strong |
| Bayern Munich to win | 75% | 1.34 | Strong |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | Weak |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | Weak |
| Under 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 36% | 2.77 | Avoid |
| Mainz or Draw | 25% | 3.97 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.43 | Avoid |
| Draw | 14% | 7.14 | Avoid |
| Mainz to win | 11% | 8.93 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9% | 11.71 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.