Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 WAT
Schalke vs Mainz Result & Review
FC Schalke 040 - 1Full time
1. FSV Mainz 05Our locked pre-match tipOver 1.5 goals
Fair odds 1.41 · 71% chance
✗ Tip lost71%
Who wins?
Home 42%Draw 27%Away 31%
Expected goals1.34 – 1.13
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Schalke vs Mainz match preview
FC Schalke 04 played 1. FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026 and the match finished 0-1. It had 1 goal, so Under 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 1.5 goals as its top tip at 71% and fair odds of 1.41. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Schalke have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
Mainz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 10.
All markets for Schalke vs Mainz
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 73% | 1.37 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Schalke or Draw | 69% | 1.46 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Mainz or Draw | 58% | 1.71 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 50% | 2.00 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 2.00 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Schalke to win | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Mainz to win | 31% | 3.19 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.41 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.23 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.