Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 WAT
Mainz vs Leverkusen Result & Review
1. FSV Mainz 05
Bayer 04 LeverkusenWho wins?
Mainz vs Leverkusen match preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 played Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026 and the match finished 3-4. It had 7 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Leverkusen or Draw as its top tip at 68% and fair odds of 1.46. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Mainz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 12 and conceding 6.
Leverkusen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 6.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Mainz won 0, Leverkusen won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Mainz vs Leverkusen
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Leverkusen or Draw | 68% | 1.46 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.65 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Mainz or Draw | 55% | 1.81 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Leverkusen to win | 45% | 2.24 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.74 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Mainz to win | 32% | 3.17 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.23 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.