Bundesliga · Fri 6 Nov 2026, 20:30 WAT
Hamburg vs Gladbach Prediction & Tips
Hamburger SV
Borussia MönchengladbachWho wins?
Hamburg vs Gladbach match preview
Hamburger SV face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Bundesliga match, gives Hamburg a 42% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 32% for Gladbach. It expects about 1.42 goals for Hamburg and 1.2 for Gladbach.
The model's top tip is Hamburg or Draw, a 68% chance with fair odds of 1.47. Both teams to score is rated at 53%, Over 1.5 goals at 74% and Over 2.5 goals at 49%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Hamburg have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
Gladbach have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 10.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Hamburg won 0, Gladbach won 0 and 2 ended level.
All markets for Hamburg vs Gladbach
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Either team wins (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | Strong |
| Hamburg or Draw | 68% | 1.47 | Good |
| Gladbach or Draw | 58% | 1.73 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | Weak |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | Avoid |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid |
| Hamburg to win | 42% | 2.38 | Avoid |
| Gladbach to win | 32% | 3.14 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 | Avoid |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.