Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 WAT

Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Result & Review

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2 - 3Full time
Hamburger SV
Our locked pre-match tipHoffenheim to win
Fair odds 1.55 · 64% chance
✗ Tip lost
64%

Who wins?

Home 64%Draw 19%Away 16%
Expected goals2.22 – 1.02
Both teams score57%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Hoffenheim vs Hamburg match preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim played Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026 and the match finished 2-3. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.

Before kick-off our model locked Hoffenheim to win as its top tip at 64% and fair odds of 1.55. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.

Hoffenheim have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 14.

Hamburg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 14.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Hoffenheim won 2, Hamburg won 0 and 0 ended level.

All markets for Hoffenheim vs Hamburg

MarketChanceFair oddsRatingResult
Hoffenheim or Draw84%1.19Strong✗ Lost
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20Strong✓ Won
Either team wins (no draw)81%1.24Strong✓ Won
Hoffenheim to win64%1.55Weak✗ Lost
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59Weak✓ Won
Under 3.5 goals59%1.68Weak✗ Lost
Both teams to score57%1.75Weak✓ Won
Not both teams to score43%2.33Avoid✗ Lost
Over 3.5 goals41%2.47Avoid✓ Won
Under 2.5 goals37%2.69Avoid✗ Lost
Hamburg or Draw36%2.81Avoid✓ Won
Draw19%5.18Avoid✗ Lost
Under 1.5 goals17%6.01Avoid✗ Lost
Hamburg to win16%6.14Avoid✓ Won

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.