Bundesliga · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 WAT

Hamburg vs Stuttgart Result & Review

Hamburger SV
1 - 0Full time
VfB Stuttgart
Our locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.59 · 63% chance
✓ Tip won
63%

Who wins?

Home 25%Draw 23%Away 52%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.85
Both teams score60%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Hamburg vs Stuttgart match preview

Hamburger SV played VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026 and the match finished 1-0. It had 1 goal, so Under 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.

Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 63% and fair odds of 1.59. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.

Hamburg have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 5 and conceding 15.

Stuttgart have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 4.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Hamburg won 1, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level.

All markets for Hamburg vs Stuttgart

MarketChanceFair oddsRatingResult
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23Strong✗ Lost
Either team wins (no draw)77%1.29Strong✓ Won
Stuttgart or Draw75%1.34Strong✗ Lost
Under 3.5 goals63%1.59Weak✓ Won
Both teams to score60%1.67Weak✗ Lost
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68Weak✗ Lost
Stuttgart to win52%1.92Avoid✗ Lost
Hamburg or Draw48%2.08Avoid✓ Won
Under 2.5 goals40%2.48Avoid✓ Won
Not both teams to score40%2.49Avoid✓ Won
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69Avoid✗ Lost
Hamburg to win25%3.94Avoid✓ Won
Draw23%4.40Avoid✗ Lost
Under 1.5 goals19%5.36Avoid✓ Won

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.