Bundesliga · Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:30 WAT
SV Elversberg vs Mainz Result & Review
SV 07 Elversberg4 - 1Full time
1. FSV Mainz 05Our locked pre-match tipSV Elversberg or Draw
Fair odds 1.47 · 68% chance
✓ Tip won68%
Who wins?
Home 46%Draw 22%Away 32%
Expected goals1.86 – 1.53
Both teams score66%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
SV Elversberg vs Mainz match preview
SV 07 Elversberg played 1. FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Friday 30 October 2026 and the match finished 4-1. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked SV Elversberg or Draw as its top tip at 68% and fair odds of 1.47. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
SV Elversberg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 5 and conceding 10.
Mainz have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 13.
All markets for SV Elversberg vs Mainz
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| SV Elversberg or Draw | 68% | 1.47 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 1.51 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Mainz or Draw | 54% | 1.84 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| SV Elversberg to win | 46% | 2.19 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.92 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 34% | 2.95 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Mainz to win | 32% | 3.13 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.74 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.