Bundesliga · Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 WAT

Mainz vs Werder Bremen Result & Review

1. FSV Mainz 05
2 - 3Full time
SV Werder Bremen
Our locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.47 · 68% chance
✗ Tip lost
68%

Who wins?

Home 54%Draw 23%Away 23%
Expected goals1.78 – 1.07
Both teams score55%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Mainz vs Werder Bremen match preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 played SV Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October 2026 and the match finished 2-3. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.

Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 68% and fair odds of 1.47. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.

Mainz have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 14 and conceding 10.

Werder Bremen have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 8.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Mainz won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 ended level.

All markets for Mainz vs Werder Bremen

MarketChanceFair oddsRatingResult
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29Strong✓ Won
Mainz or Draw77%1.29Strong✗ Lost
Either team wins (no draw)77%1.30Strong✓ Won
Under 3.5 goals68%1.47Good✗ Lost
Both teams to score55%1.83Weak✓ Won
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84Weak✓ Won
Mainz to win54%1.85Weak✗ Lost
Werder Bremen or Draw46%2.18Avoid✓ Won
Under 2.5 goals46%2.19Avoid✗ Lost
Not both teams to score45%2.21Avoid✗ Lost
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12Avoid✓ Won
Draw23%4.30Avoid✗ Lost
Werder Bremen to win23%4.41Avoid✓ Won
Under 1.5 goals22%4.51Avoid✗ Lost

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.