La Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 21:00 WAT
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips
Valencia CF
Real Madrid CFWho wins?
Valencia vs Real Madrid match preview
Valencia CF face Real Madrid CF in the La Liga on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished La Liga match, gives Valencia a 18% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 59% for Real Madrid. It expects about 0.91 goals for Valencia and 1.84 for Real Madrid.
The model's top tip is Under 3.5 goals, a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.42. Both teams to score is rated at 50%, Over 1.5 goals at 76% and Over 2.5 goals at 52%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 17 and conceding 6.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Valencia won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Valencia vs Real Madrid
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | Good |
| Real Madrid to win | 59% | 1.69 | Weak |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | Avoid |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 50% | 2.01 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | Avoid |
| Valencia or Draw | 41% | 2.46 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 | Avoid |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | Avoid |
| Valencia to win | 18% | 5.49 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.