Champions League · Wed 14 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Roma vs Real Madrid Result & Review
AS Roma3 - 4Full time
Real Madrid CFOur locked pre-match tipBoth teams to score
Fair odds 1.53 · 65% chance
✓ Tip won65%
Who wins?
Home 37%Draw 23%Away 40%
Expected goals1.61 – 1.7
Both teams score65%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Roma vs Real Madrid match preview
AS Roma played Real Madrid CF in the Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026 and the match finished 3-4. It had 7 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Both teams to score as its top tip at 65% and fair odds of 1.53. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Roma have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 6.
All markets for Roma vs Real Madrid
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 1.53 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Roma or Draw | 60% | 1.67 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Real Madrid to win | 40% | 2.48 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Roma to win | 37% | 2.72 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 35% | 2.89 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.35 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.