La Liga · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Real Madrid vs Villarreal Result & Review
Real Madrid CF
Villarreal CFWho wins?
Real Madrid vs Villarreal match preview
Real Madrid CF played Villarreal CF in the La Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026 and the match finished 1-0. It had 1 goal, so Under 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 2.5 goals as its top tip at 65% and fair odds of 1.54. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Real Madrid have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 10 and conceding 7.
Villarreal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 10.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Real Madrid won 2, Villarreal won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Real Madrid vs Villarreal
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.22 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 80% | 1.24 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Real Madrid to win | 62% | 1.60 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.66 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 40% | 2.51 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Villarreal or Draw | 38% | 2.67 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 20% | 5.13 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Villarreal to win | 18% | 5.56 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.56 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.