La Liga · Fri 6 Nov 2026, 21:00 WAT
Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction & Tips
Sevilla FC
Deportivo AlavésWho wins?
Sevilla vs Alaves match preview
Sevilla FC face Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished La Liga match, gives Sevilla a 47% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 28% for Alaves. It expects about 1.61 goals for Sevilla and 1.18 for Alaves.
The model's top tip is Under 3.5 goals, a 69% chance with fair odds of 1.44. Both teams to score is rated at 55%, Over 1.5 goals at 77% and Over 2.5 goals at 53%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Sevilla have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 13.
Alaves have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 11.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Sevilla won 1, Alaves won 0 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Sevilla vs Alaves
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 | Strong |
| Sevilla or Draw | 72% | 1.39 | Good |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | Good |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | Weak |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | Weak |
| Alaves or Draw | 53% | 1.90 | Weak |
| Sevilla to win | 47% | 2.12 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 45% | 2.24 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.28 | Avoid |
| Alaves to win | 28% | 3.57 | Avoid |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.