La Liga · Fri 23 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Alaves vs Málaga Result & Review
Deportivo Alavés1 - 1Full time
Málaga CFOur locked pre-match tipAlaves to win
Fair odds 1.61 · 62% chance
✗ Tip lost62%
Who wins?
Home 62%Draw 22%Away 16%
Expected goals1.83 – 0.79
Both teams score46%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Alaves vs Málaga match preview
Deportivo Alavés played Málaga CF in the La Liga on Friday 23 October 2026 and the match finished 1-1. It had 2 goals, so Under 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Alaves to win as its top tip at 62% and fair odds of 1.61. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Alaves have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 7.
Málaga have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 5 and conceding 11.
All markets for Alaves vs Málaga
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves or Draw | 84% | 1.18 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Alaves to win | 62% | 1.61 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 54% | 1.84 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 2.18 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Málaga or Draw | 38% | 2.64 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.73 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 22% | 4.49 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Málaga to win | 16% | 6.41 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.
Recent form
Alaves – last 5
LReal Racing Club de Santander 1-2LValencia 0-1DAthletic Bilbao 0-0LAtletico Madrid 1-2LCelta Vigo 1-2