La Liga · Sun 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Result & Review
Real Madrid CF4 - 1Full time
Sevilla FCOur locked pre-match tipOver 2.5 goals
Fair odds 1.52 · 66% chance
✓ Tip won66%
Who wins?
Home 77%Draw 14%Away 9%
Expected goals2.63 – 0.77
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Real Madrid vs Sevilla match preview
Real Madrid CF played Sevilla FC in the La Liga on Sunday 18 October 2026 and the match finished 4-1. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 2.5 goals as its top tip at 66% and fair odds of 1.52. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
Sevilla have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Real Madrid won 2, Sevilla won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Real Madrid vs Sevilla
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or Draw | 91% | 1.09 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 86% | 1.17 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Real Madrid to win | 77% | 1.30 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 2.01 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Sevilla or Draw | 23% | 4.35 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.77 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 14% | 6.93 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Sevilla to win | 9% | 11.68 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.