Champions League · Wed 21 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Result & Review
Real Madrid CF4 - 1Full time
RB LeipzigOur locked pre-match tipReal Madrid to win
Fair odds 1.42 · 70% chance
✓ Tip won70%
Who wins?
Home 70%Draw 16%Away 14%
Expected goals2.73 – 1.16
Both teams score64%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig match preview
Real Madrid CF played RB Leipzig in the Champions League on Wednesday 21 October 2026 and the match finished 4-1. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Real Madrid to win as its top tip at 70% and fair odds of 1.42. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
RB Leipzig have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 8.
All markets for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 86% | 1.16 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 84% | 1.19 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Real Madrid to win | 70% | 1.42 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 36% | 2.78 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| RB Leipzig or Draw | 30% | 3.38 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 26% | 3.91 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 16% | 6.30 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| RB Leipzig to win | 14% | 7.29 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10% | 9.94 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.