Champions League · Wed 4 Nov 2026, 18:45 WAT
PAE AEK vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips
PAE AEK
Real Madrid CFWho wins?
PAE AEK vs Real Madrid match preview
PAE AEK face Real Madrid CF in the Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 18:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Champions League match, gives PAE AEK a 24% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 56% for Real Madrid. It expects about 1.5 goals for PAE AEK and 2.32 for Real Madrid.
The model's top tip is Both teams to score, a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.43. Both teams to score is rated at 70%, Over 1.5 goals at 89% and Over 2.5 goals at 73%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
PAE AEK have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 8.
Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 17 and conceding 6.
All markets for PAE AEK vs Real Madrid
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 | Strong |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | Strong |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | Strong |
| Both teams to score | 70% | 1.43 | Good |
| Real Madrid to win | 56% | 1.79 | Weak |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | Weak |
| Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid |
| PAE AEK or Draw | 44% | 2.27 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 30% | 3.34 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.77 | Avoid |
| PAE AEK to win | 24% | 4.09 | Avoid |
| Draw | 20% | 5.08 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11% | 9.47 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.