Champions League · Tue 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Man City vs PAE AEK Result & Review
Manchester City FC5 - 1Full time
PAE AEKOur locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.57 · 64% chance
✗ Tip lost64%
Who wins?
Home 54%Draw 23%Away 24%
Expected goals1.88 – 1.17
Both teams score58%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Man City vs PAE AEK match preview
Manchester City FC played PAE AEK in the Champions League on Tuesday 20 October 2026 and the match finished 5-1. It had 6 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 64% and fair odds of 1.57. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Man City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 14 and conceding 9.
PAE AEK have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches on record, scoring 2 and conceding 3.
All markets for Man City vs PAE AEK
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Man City or Draw | 76% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Man City to win | 54% | 1.85 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| PAE AEK or Draw | 46% | 2.17 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.42 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| PAE AEK to win | 24% | 4.25 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.21 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.