Man City vs PSG Result & Review
Manchester City FC2 - 4Full time
Paris Saint-Germain FCOur locked pre-match tipOver 2.5 goals
Fair odds 1.44 · 70% chance
✓ Tip won70%
Who wins?
Home 36%Draw 22%Away 42%
Expected goals1.72 – 1.87
Both teams score70%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Man City vs PSG match preview
Manchester City FC played Paris Saint-Germain FC in the Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026 and the match finished 2-4. It had 6 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 2.5 goals as its top tip at 70% and fair odds of 1.44. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Man City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 12 and conceding 3.
PSG have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 5.
All markets for Man City vs PSG
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 70% | 1.44 | Good | ✓ Won |
| PSG or Draw | 64% | 1.56 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Man City or Draw | 58% | 1.73 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| PSG to win | 42% | 2.38 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Man City to win | 36% | 2.77 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 30% | 3.28 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.92 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.