Liverpool vs Man City Result & Review
Liverpool FC
Manchester City FCWho wins?
Liverpool vs Man City match preview
Liverpool FC played Manchester City FC in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October 2026 and the match finished 0-3. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 65% and fair odds of 1.54. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Liverpool have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
Man City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 4.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Liverpool won 0, Man City won 2 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Liverpool vs Man City
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Man City or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Liverpool or Draw | 51% | 1.95 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Man City to win | 49% | 2.05 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Liverpool to win | 28% | 3.62 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.01 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.