Premier League · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 WAT

Liverpool vs Man City Result & Review

Liverpool FC
0 - 3Full time
Manchester City FC
Our locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.54 · 65% chance
✓ Tip won
65%

Who wins?

Home 28%Draw 24%Away 49%
Expected goals1.26 – 1.74
Both teams score59%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Liverpool vs Man City match preview

Liverpool FC played Manchester City FC in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October 2026 and the match finished 0-3. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.

Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 65% and fair odds of 1.54. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.

Liverpool have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 3.

Man City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 13 and conceding 4.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Liverpool won 0, Man City won 2 and 0 ended level.

All markets for Liverpool vs Man City

MarketChanceFair oddsRatingResult
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25Strong✓ Won
Either team wins (no draw)76%1.31Strong✓ Won
Man City or Draw72%1.38Good✓ Won
Under 3.5 goals65%1.54Weak✓ Won
Both teams to score59%1.70Weak✗ Lost
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74Weak✓ Won
Liverpool or Draw51%1.95Avoid✗ Lost
Man City to win49%2.05Avoid✓ Won
Under 2.5 goals42%2.36Avoid✗ Lost
Not both teams to score41%2.44Avoid✓ Won
Over 3.5 goals35%2.84Avoid✗ Lost
Liverpool to win28%3.62Avoid✗ Lost
Draw24%4.25Avoid✗ Lost
Under 1.5 goals20%5.01Avoid✗ Lost

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.