Premier League · Sat 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 WAT
Aston Villa vs Man City Result & Review
Aston Villa FC
Manchester City FCWho wins?
Aston Villa vs Man City match preview
Aston Villa FC played Manchester City FC in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October 2026 and the match finished 2-1. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 68% and fair odds of 1.48. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 15 and conceding 5.
Man City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 18 and conceding 10.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Aston Villa won 2, Man City won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Aston Villa vs Man City
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Man City or Draw | 77% | 1.31 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Man City to win | 53% | 1.88 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Aston Villa or Draw | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 45% | 2.23 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Aston Villa to win | 23% | 4.26 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.54 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.