Premier League · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 WAT
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Result & Review
Newcastle United FC
Aston Villa FCWho wins?
Newcastle vs Aston Villa match preview
Newcastle United FC played Aston Villa FC in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October 2026 and the match finished 0-1. It had 1 goal, so Under 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 66% and fair odds of 1.51. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Newcastle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 11.
Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 15 and conceding 8.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Newcastle won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Newcastle vs Aston Villa
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Newcastle or Draw | 66% | 1.51 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Aston Villa or Draw | 58% | 1.71 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Newcastle to win | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Aston Villa to win | 34% | 2.95 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.79 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.