Coventry City vs Newcastle Result & Review
Coventry City FC4 - 1Full time
Newcastle United FCOur locked pre-match tipOver 1.5 goals
Fair odds 1.40 · 71% chance
✓ Tip won71%
Who wins?
Home 23%Draw 25%Away 52%
Expected goals0.94 – 1.57
Both teams score48%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Coventry City vs Newcastle match preview
Coventry City FC played Newcastle United FC in the Premier League on Monday 12 October 2026 and the match finished 4-1. It had 5 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 1.5 goals as its top tip at 71% and fair odds of 1.40. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Coventry City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 1 and conceding 10.
Newcastle have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 9.
All markets for Coventry City vs Newcastle
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle or Draw | 77% | 1.29 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Newcastle to win | 52% | 1.92 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 52% | 1.93 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 2.08 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Coventry City or Draw | 48% | 2.09 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.49 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.11 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Coventry City to win | 23% | 4.43 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.