Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 20:45 WAT
PSG vs ES Troyes Prediction & Tips
Paris Saint-Germain FC
ES Troyes ACWho wins?
PSG vs ES Troyes match preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC face ES Troyes AC in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Ligue 1 match, gives PSG a 82% chance of winning, 12% for a draw and 6% for ES Troyes. It expects about 2.75 goals for PSG and 0.6 for ES Troyes.
The model's top tip is Over 2.5 goals, a 65% chance with fair odds of 1.54. Both teams to score is rated at 42%, Over 1.5 goals at 85% and Over 2.5 goals at 65%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
PSG have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 18 and conceding 6.
ES Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 7.
All markets for PSG vs ES Troyes
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG or Draw | 94% | 1.06 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 88% | 1.14 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | Strong |
| PSG to win | 82% | 1.22 | Strong |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | Weak |
| Not both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | Weak |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | Weak |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | Avoid |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 2.38 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | Avoid |
| ES Troyes or Draw | 18% | 5.63 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.53 | Avoid |
| Draw | 12% | 8.24 | Avoid |
| ES Troyes to win | 6% | 17.79 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.