Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 19:45 WAT
ES Troyes vs Marseille Result & Review
ES Troyes AC0 - 2Full time
Olympique de MarseilleOur locked pre-match tipOver 2.5 goals
Fair odds 1.63 · 61% chance
✗ Tip lost61%
Who wins?
Home 23%Draw 22%Away 55%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.97
Both teams score60%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
ES Troyes vs Marseille match preview
ES Troyes AC played Olympique de Marseille in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026 and the match finished 0-2. It had 2 goals, so Under 2.5 landed. At least one side failed to score.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 2.5 goals as its top tip at 61% and fair odds of 1.63. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
ES Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 11.
Marseille have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 8.
All markets for ES Troyes vs Marseille
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Marseille or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Marseille to win | 55% | 1.80 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| ES Troyes or Draw | 45% | 2.24 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 40% | 2.50 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| ES Troyes to win | 23% | 4.39 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 22% | 4.59 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.70 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.