Ligue 1 · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 19:45 WAT
ES Troyes vs Lens Result & Review
ES Troyes AC1 - 3Full time
Racing Club de LensOur locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.60 · 62% chance
✗ Tip lost62%
Who wins?
Home 18%Draw 20%Away 62%
Expected goals1.02 – 2.09
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
ES Troyes vs Lens match preview
ES Troyes AC played Racing Club de Lens in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 October 2026 and the match finished 1-3. It had 4 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 62% and fair odds of 1.60. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
ES Troyes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 13.
Lens have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
All markets for ES Troyes vs Lens
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens or Draw | 82% | 1.21 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 80% | 1.26 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Lens to win | 62% | 1.61 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 44% | 2.27 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| ES Troyes or Draw | 38% | 2.63 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.43 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| ES Troyes to win | 18% | 5.67 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.