Champions League · Tue 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Liverpool vs Villarreal Result & Review
Liverpool FC4 - 3Full time
Villarreal CFOur locked pre-match tipOver 2.5 goals
Fair odds 1.41 · 71% chance
✓ Tip won71%
Who wins?
Home 79%Draw 13%Away 8%
Expected goals2.87 – 0.81
Both teams score52%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Liverpool vs Villarreal match preview
Liverpool FC played Villarreal CF in the Champions League on Tuesday 20 October 2026 and the match finished 4-3. It had 7 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 2.5 goals as its top tip at 71% and fair odds of 1.41. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Liverpool have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
Villarreal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 4.
All markets for Liverpool vs Villarreal
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or Draw | 92% | 1.08 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 87% | 1.15 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Liverpool to win | 79% | 1.26 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 1.91 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 48% | 2.10 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.45 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Villarreal or Draw | 21% | 4.85 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 13% | 7.76 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.45 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Villarreal to win | 8% | 12.90 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.