Champions League · Tue 13 Oct 2026, 20:00 WAT
Villarreal vs Napoli Result & Review
Villarreal CF3 - 1Full time
SSC NapoliOur locked pre-match tipVillarreal or Draw
Fair odds 1.56 · 64% chance
✓ Tip won64%
Who wins?
Home 38%Draw 26%Away 36%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.28
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Villarreal vs Napoli match preview
Villarreal CF played SSC Napoli in the Champions League on Tuesday 13 October 2026 and the match finished 3-1. It had 4 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Villarreal or Draw as its top tip at 64% and fair odds of 1.56. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Villarreal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 5.
All markets for Villarreal vs Napoli
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team wins (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | Strong | ✗ Lost |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Villarreal or Draw | 64% | 1.56 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Napoli or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Villarreal to win | 38% | 2.65 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Napoli to win | 36% | 2.79 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.76 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.77 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.