Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 12:30 WAT
Napoli vs Lazio Prediction & Tips
SSC Napoli
SS LazioWho wins?
Napoli vs Lazio match preview
SSC Napoli face SS Lazio in the Serie A on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 12:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Serie A match, gives Napoli a 42% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 30% for Lazio. It expects about 1.28 goals for Napoli and 1.04 for Lazio.
The model's top tip is Napoli or Draw, a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.44. Both teams to score is rated at 47%, Over 1.5 goals at 67% and Over 2.5 goals at 41%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 10.
Lazio have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 16 and conceding 5.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Napoli won 1, Lazio won 1 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Napoli vs Lazio
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 | Good |
| Napoli or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | Good |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | Good |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | Weak |
| Lazio or Draw | 58% | 1.71 | Weak |
| Not both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 2.14 | Avoid |
| Napoli to win | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 | Avoid |
| Lazio to win | 30% | 3.30 | Avoid |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.88 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.