Serie A · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 WAT
Lazio vs Monza Result & Review
SS Lazio3 - 1Full time
AC MonzaOur locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.49 · 67% chance
✗ Tip lost67%
Who wins?
Home 53%Draw 23%Away 24%
Expected goals1.77 – 1.12
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Lazio vs Monza match preview
SS Lazio played AC Monza in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026 and the match finished 3-1. It had 4 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 67% and fair odds of 1.49. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Lazio have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 3.
Monza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
All markets for Lazio vs Monza
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 77% | 1.31 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Lazio or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Lazio to win | 53% | 1.90 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Monza or Draw | 47% | 2.11 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 44% | 2.26 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Monza to win | 24% | 4.17 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.61 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.