Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 20:45 WAT
Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Tips
Racing Club de Lens
Olympique de MarseilleWho wins?
Lens vs Marseille match preview
Racing Club de Lens face Olympique de Marseille in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Ligue 1 match, gives Lens a 53% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 26% for Marseille. It expects about 1.97 goals for Lens and 1.32 for Marseille.
The model's top tip is Over 2.5 goals, a 64% chance with fair odds of 1.57. Both teams to score is rated at 63%, Over 1.5 goals at 84% and Over 2.5 goals at 64%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Lens have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 5 and conceding 8.
Marseille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 14 and conceding 7.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Lens won 1, Marseille won 1 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Lens vs Marseille
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 | Strong |
| Lens or Draw | 74% | 1.34 | Strong |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 1.59 | Weak |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | Weak |
| Lens to win | 53% | 1.90 | Weak |
| Marseille or Draw | 47% | 2.11 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 37% | 2.71 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.77 | Avoid |
| Marseille to win | 26% | 3.91 | Avoid |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.26 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.