Bundesliga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:30 WAT
Cologne vs Leverkusen Prediction & Tips
1. FC Köln
Bayer 04 LeverkusenWho wins?
Cologne vs Leverkusen match preview
1. FC Köln face Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Bundesliga match, gives Cologne a 30% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 48% for Leverkusen. It expects about 1.46 goals for Cologne and 1.9 for Leverkusen.
The model's top tip is Leverkusen or Draw, a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.42. Both teams to score is rated at 65%, Over 1.5 goals at 85% and Over 2.5 goals at 65%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Cologne have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 5.
Leverkusen have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 10 and conceding 11.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Cologne won 0, Leverkusen won 2 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Cologne vs Leverkusen
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 | Strong |
| Leverkusen or Draw | 70% | 1.42 | Good |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 1.53 | Good |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | Good |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | Weak |
| Cologne or Draw | 52% | 1.92 | Weak |
| Leverkusen to win | 48% | 2.09 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 35% | 2.87 | Avoid |
| Cologne to win | 30% | 3.36 | Avoid |
| Draw | 22% | 4.49 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.57 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.