Serie A · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 WAT
Parma vs Bologna Prediction & Tips
Parma Calcio 1913
Bologna FC 1909Who wins?
Parma vs Bologna match preview
Parma Calcio 1913 face Bologna FC 1909 in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Serie A match, gives Parma a 24% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 46% for Bologna. It expects about 0.8 goals for Parma and 1.24 for Bologna.
The model's top tip is Either team wins (no draw), a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.42. Both teams to score is rated at 39%, Over 1.5 goals at 60% and Over 2.5 goals at 33%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 8.
Bologna have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Parma won 1, Bologna won 1 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Parma vs Bologna
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | Strong |
| Bologna or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 70% | 1.42 | Good |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | Good |
| Not both teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | Weak |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | Weak |
| Parma or Draw | 54% | 1.87 | Weak |
| Bologna to win | 46% | 2.15 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | Avoid |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 2.56 | Avoid |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 | Avoid |
| Draw | 30% | 3.39 | Avoid |
| Parma to win | 24% | 4.17 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.70 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.