Serie A · Sun 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 WAT
Lecce vs Bologna Result & Review
US Lecce1 - 2Full time
Bologna FC 1909Our locked pre-match tipEither team wins (no draw)
Fair odds 1.40 · 71% chance
✓ Tip won71%
Who wins?
Home 24%Draw 29%Away 47%
Expected goals0.84 – 1.28
Both teams score41%
Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Lecce vs Bologna match preview
US Lecce played Bologna FC 1909 in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026 and the match finished 1-2. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Either team wins (no draw) as its top tip at 71% and fair odds of 1.40. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Lecce have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 5 and conceding 10.
Bologna have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Lecce won 0, Bologna won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Lecce vs Bologna
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Bologna or Draw | 76% | 1.32 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 71% | 1.40 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 59% | 1.69 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Lecce or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Bologna to win | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Lecce to win | 24% | 4.12 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 6.06 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.