La Liga · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 18:30 WAT

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Tips

CA Osasuna
VS18:30 WAT
Athletic Club
Our top tipOsasuna or Draw
Fair odds 1.42 · 70% chance
70%

Who wins?

Home 43%Draw 27%Away 30%
Expected goals1.36 – 1.07
Both teams score49%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%

Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao match preview

CA Osasuna face Athletic Club in the La Liga on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 18:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished La Liga match, gives Osasuna a 43% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 30% for Athletic Bilbao. It expects about 1.36 goals for Osasuna and 1.07 for Athletic Bilbao.

The model's top tip is Osasuna or Draw, a 70% chance with fair odds of 1.42. Both teams to score is rated at 49%, Over 1.5 goals at 70% and Over 2.5 goals at 44%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.

Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 6 and conceding 10.

Athletic Bilbao have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 4.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Osasuna won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level.

All markets for Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

MarketChanceFair oddsRating
Under 3.5 goals77%1.29Strong
Either team wins (no draw)73%1.37Good
Osasuna or Draw70%1.42Good
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43Good
Athletic Bilbao or Draw57%1.77Weak
Under 2.5 goals56%1.78Weak
Not both teams to score51%1.96Avoid
Both teams to score49%2.05Avoid
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28Avoid
Osasuna to win43%2.31Avoid
Under 1.5 goals30%3.31Avoid
Athletic Bilbao to win30%3.39Avoid
Draw27%3.69Avoid
Over 3.5 goals23%4.39Avoid

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.