Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:00 WAT
Monza vs Atalanta Prediction & Tips
AC Monza
Atalanta BCWho wins?
Monza vs Atalanta match preview
AC Monza face Atalanta BC in the Serie A on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Serie A match, gives Monza a 28% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 51% for Atalanta. It expects about 1.49 goals for Monza and 2.08 for Atalanta.
The model's top tip is Over 2.5 goals, a 69% chance with fair odds of 1.44. Both teams to score is rated at 68%, Over 1.5 goals at 87% and Over 2.5 goals at 69%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Monza have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 12.
Atalanta have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 13.
All markets for Monza vs Atalanta
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 | Strong |
| Atalanta or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | Good |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | Good |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | Good |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | Weak |
| Atalanta to win | 51% | 1.95 | Avoid |
| Monza or Draw | 49% | 2.06 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 32% | 3.11 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | Avoid |
| Monza to win | 28% | 3.64 | Avoid |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.79 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.