Serie A · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:00 WAT
Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Tips
Genoa CFC
AC MilanWho wins?
Genoa vs AC Milan match preview
Genoa CFC face AC Milan in the Serie A on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Serie A match, gives Genoa a 22% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 52% for AC Milan. It expects about 0.88 goals for Genoa and 1.52 for AC Milan.
The model's top tip is Over 1.5 goals, a 69% chance with fair odds of 1.45. Both teams to score is rated at 46%, Over 1.5 goals at 69% and Over 2.5 goals at 43%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Genoa have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
AC Milan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 8.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Genoa won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Genoa vs AC Milan
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | Good |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | Weak |
| Not both teams to score | 54% | 1.84 | Weak |
| AC Milan to win | 52% | 1.92 | Weak |
| Genoa or Draw | 48% | 2.09 | Avoid |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 2.18 | Avoid |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 | Avoid |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | Avoid |
| Genoa to win | 22% | 4.56 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.