Serie A · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 WAT
Genoa vs Fiorentina Result & Review
Genoa CFC2 - 1Full time
ACF FiorentinaOur locked pre-match tipOver 1.5 goals
Fair odds 1.43 · 70% chance
✓ Tip won70%
Who wins?
Home 38%Draw 27%Away 35%
Expected goals1.26 – 1.19
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Genoa vs Fiorentina match preview
Genoa CFC played ACF Fiorentina in the Serie A on Saturday 10 October 2026 and the match finished 2-1. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Over 1.5 goals as its top tip at 70% and fair odds of 1.43. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Genoa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 10.
Fiorentina have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 6 and conceding 12.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Genoa won 0, Fiorentina won 0 and 2 ended level.
All markets for Genoa vs Fiorentina
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 73% | 1.38 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Genoa or Draw | 65% | 1.53 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Fiorentina or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Not both teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 2.01 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Genoa to win | 38% | 2.64 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Fiorentina to win | 35% | 2.87 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.35 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.33 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.