Serie A · Thu 29 Oct 2026, 18:30 WAT
Frosinone vs Lecce Result & Review
Frosinone Calcio5 - 1Full time
US LecceOur locked pre-match tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.53 · 65% chance
✗ Tip lost65%
Who wins?
Home 62%Draw 21%Away 17%
Expected goals2.02 – 0.95
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Frosinone vs Lecce match preview
Frosinone Calcio played US Lecce in the Serie A on Thursday 29 October 2026 and the match finished 5-1. It had 6 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Under 3.5 goals as its top tip at 65% and fair odds of 1.53. That tip lost. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Frosinone have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 11 and conceding 10.
Lecce have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 9.
All markets for Frosinone vs Lecce
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 79% | 1.26 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | Good | ✗ Lost |
| Frosinone to win | 62% | 1.61 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | Weak | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 47% | 2.14 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Lecce or Draw | 38% | 2.65 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.88 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Draw | 21% | 4.81 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.93 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Lecce to win | 17% | 5.90 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.