Bundesliga · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 17:30 WAT
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction & Tips
SC Freiburg
1. FC Union BerlinWho wins?
Freiburg vs Union Berlin match preview
SC Freiburg face 1. FC Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 17:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Bundesliga match, gives Freiburg a 59% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 19% for Union Berlin. It expects about 2.03 goals for Freiburg and 1.08 for Union Berlin.
The model's top tip is Under 3.5 goals, a 62% chance with fair odds of 1.61. Both teams to score is rated at 57%, Over 1.5 goals at 82% and Over 2.5 goals at 60%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Freiburg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
Union Berlin have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 3 and conceding 9.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Freiburg won 0, Union Berlin won 1 and 1 ended level.
All markets for Freiburg vs Union Berlin
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | Strong |
| Freiburg or Draw | 81% | 1.24 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 79% | 1.27 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | Weak |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | Weak |
| Freiburg to win | 59% | 1.68 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 1.74 | Weak |
| Not both teams to score | 43% | 2.34 | Avoid |
| Union Berlin or Draw | 41% | 2.47 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | Avoid |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 | Avoid |
| Union Berlin to win | 19% | 5.14 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.46 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.