Premier League · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 15:00 WAT
Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips
Sunderland AFC
Chelsea FCWho wins?
Sunderland vs Chelsea match preview
Sunderland AFC face Chelsea FC in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Premier League match, gives Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 42% for Chelsea. It expects about 1.24 goals for Sunderland and 1.45 for Chelsea.
The model's top tip is Chelsea or Draw, a 68% chance with fair odds of 1.48. Both teams to score is rated at 54%, Over 1.5 goals at 75% and Over 2.5 goals at 50%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Sunderland have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 4 and conceding 12.
Chelsea have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Sunderland won 2, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Sunderland vs Chelsea
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | Good |
| Chelsea or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | Good |
| Sunderland or Draw | 58% | 1.72 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 1.84 | Weak |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 46% | 2.19 | Avoid |
| Chelsea to win | 42% | 2.38 | Avoid |
| Sunderland to win | 32% | 3.10 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 | Avoid |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.97 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.