Serie A · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 20:45 WAT
Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction & Tips
AS Roma
US Sassuolo CalcioWho wins?
Roma vs Sassuolo match preview
AS Roma face US Sassuolo Calcio in the Serie A on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Serie A match, gives Roma a 68% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 13% for Sassuolo. It expects about 2.22 goals for Roma and 0.86 for Sassuolo.
The model's top tip is Roma to win, a 68% chance with fair odds of 1.46. Both teams to score is rated at 51%, Over 1.5 goals at 81% and Over 2.5 goals at 59%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Roma have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 18 and conceding 7.
Sassuolo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 17.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Roma won 2, Sassuolo won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Roma vs Sassuolo
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma or Draw | 87% | 1.15 | Strong |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 81% | 1.23 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | Strong |
| Roma to win | 68% | 1.46 | Good |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | Weak |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 49% | 2.05 | Avoid |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | Avoid |
| Sassuolo or Draw | 32% | 3.15 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.30 | Avoid |
| Draw | 19% | 5.38 | Avoid |
| Sassuolo to win | 13% | 7.62 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.