Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov 2026, 17:15 WAT

Brest vs Lyon Prediction & Tips

Stade Brestois 29
VS17:15 WAT
Olympique Lyonnais
Our top tipUnder 3.5 goals
Fair odds 1.40 · 72% chance
72%

Who wins?

Home 31%Draw 26%Away 43%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.48
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%

Brest vs Lyon match preview

Stade Brestois 29 face Olympique Lyonnais in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 17:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Ligue 1 match, gives Brest a 31% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 43% for Lyon. It expects about 1.22 goals for Brest and 1.48 for Lyon.

The model's top tip is Under 3.5 goals, a 72% chance with fair odds of 1.40. Both teams to score is rated at 54%, Over 1.5 goals at 75% and Over 2.5 goals at 51%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.

Brest have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Lyon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 9 and conceding 5.

In their last 2 meetings on record, Brest won 0, Lyon won 1 and 1 ended level.

All markets for Brest vs Lyon

MarketChanceFair oddsRating
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33Strong
Either team wins (no draw)74%1.34Strong
Under 3.5 goals72%1.40Good
Lyon or Draw69%1.45Good
Brest or Draw57%1.76Weak
Both teams to score54%1.84Weak
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98Avoid
Under 2.5 goals49%2.02Avoid
Not both teams to score46%2.19Avoid
Lyon to win43%2.31Avoid
Brest to win31%3.21Avoid
Over 3.5 goals28%3.51Avoid
Draw26%3.91Avoid
Under 1.5 goals25%4.01Avoid

Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.