Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Nov 2026, 17:15 WAT
Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction & Tips
AJ Auxerre
Paris FCWho wins?
Auxerre vs Paris FC match preview
AJ Auxerre face Paris FC in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November, with kick-off at 17:15 Nigerian time (WAT).
Our Poisson-based AI model, built from attack and defence ratings in every finished Ligue 1 match, gives Auxerre a 33% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 40% for Paris FC. It expects about 1.23 goals for Auxerre and 1.38 for Paris FC.
The model's top tip is Paris FC or Draw, a 67% chance with fair odds of 1.50. Both teams to score is rated at 53%, Over 1.5 goals at 74% and Over 2.5 goals at 49%. Fair odds have no bookmaker margin, so the price you see at Bet9ja, SportyBet or 1xBet will usually be lower. Check it before you play.
Auxerre have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
Paris FC have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 10 and conceding 8.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Auxerre won 0, Paris FC won 0 and 2 ended level.
All markets for Auxerre vs Paris FC
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Either team wins (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 | Strong |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | Strong |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | Strong |
| Paris FC or Draw | 67% | 1.50 | Good |
| Auxerre or Draw | 60% | 1.68 | Weak |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | Weak |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | Avoid |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | Avoid |
| Not both teams to score | 47% | 2.13 | Avoid |
| Paris FC to win | 40% | 2.48 | Avoid |
| Auxerre to win | 33% | 2.99 | Avoid |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.74 | Avoid |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.78 | Avoid |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | Avoid |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.