Premier League · Sat 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 WAT
Arsenal vs Leeds Result & Review
Arsenal FC2 - 1Full time
Leeds United FCOur locked pre-match tipArsenal to win
Fair odds 1.47 · 68% chance
✓ Tip won68%
Who wins?
Home 68%Draw 20%Away 12%
Expected goals1.97 – 0.67
Both teams score42%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Arsenal vs Leeds match preview
Arsenal FC played Leeds United FC in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026 and the match finished 2-1. It had 3 goals, so Over 2.5 landed. Both teams scored.
Before kick-off our model locked Arsenal to win as its top tip at 68% and fair odds of 1.47. That tip won. Every tip we lock is graded in public on the stats page, wins and losses.
Arsenal have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 6 and conceding 4.
Leeds have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches on record, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
In their last 2 meetings on record, Arsenal won 2, Leeds won 0 and 0 ended level.
All markets for Arsenal vs Leeds
| Market | Chance | Fair odds | Rating | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal or Draw | 88% | 1.13 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Either team wins (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | Strong | ✓ Won |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Arsenal to win | 68% | 1.47 | Good | ✓ Won |
| Not both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | Weak | ✗ Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 2.38 | Avoid | ✓ Won |
| Leeds or Draw | 32% | 3.14 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Draw | 20% | 4.96 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
| Leeds to win | 12% | 8.53 | Avoid | ✗ Lost |
Rating by chance: Strong 73%+, Good 65%+, Weak 52%+, Avoid below 52%. Odds are the model's fair odds, not bookmaker odds.